Skip to Content

RELEASE:  Priority One: How to fix the broken federal system

Agenda 2028
January 15, 2026 by
amnireform@gmail.com


The future cannot be built on temporary political handshakes. It requires a fundamental shift from personalized politics to permanent, rules-based institutions. We are pleased to release our comprehensive policy recommendations for Priority 1: Fixing the Federal System, a strategy designed to break the "crisis loop" through a clear, phased approach to a functional federation.

Phase I: Leadership Reconciliation & Consensus

The Political Entry Point Before laws can be enacted, the political deadlock must be broken. This begins by facilitating a high-level dialogue between the Federal Government (FGS) and Federal Member States (FMS) to reach a binding, written consensus on the federal structure. This phase is about establishing a shared commitment to the "Rules of the Game," providing the political legitimacy required to move into the legislative process.

Phase II: The Legislative Foundation

Codifying the Rules Once political consensus is secured, Parliament must act to turn those agreements into law. We propose two cornerstone pieces of legislation to replace ad hoc arrangements with enforceable rules. First, the Federal Mandate Act will define the legal boundaries of cooperation, imposing a "Non-Interference Obligation" to ensure that the FGS and FMS interact without overstepping their constitutional authorities. Second, the Federal Security Act will operationalize the National Security Architecture, establishing a clear division of labor, command authority, and financial accountability across the SNA and Police services. This ensures that security becomes a shared responsibility rather than a political tool.

Phase III: Neutral Authority for Dispute Resolution

The Rule of Law To ensure long-term stability and prevent future crises, the federation needs a neutral "referee." We call for the immediate reconstitution of the Judicial Service Commission (JSC) to establish the Constitutional Court. This body will serve as the final, authoritative arbiter for all FGS–FMS disputes, ending the era of "forum-shopping" and legal ambiguity under Article 109. Parallel to this, we must establish the Inter-State Commission (ISC) as a permanent statutory body to mediate administrative disputes before they escalate into national crises. Finally, the National Consultative Council (NCC) must be codified by law as a political coordination forum only, ensuring it supports, rather than replaces, our constitutional and judicial institutions.

 Read the full report

Explore the Solutions other solutions 


Agenda 2028 Series Editor: Mohamed Ahmed Policy and Research Director

  1. International IDEA, From Substate Governance to Constitution-Building at the Centre: A View from Somalia.
  2. ConstitutionNet, Somalia: Constitutional History.
  3. European Union Agency for Asylum (EUAA), Recent Political and Security Developments in Somalia.
  4. Max Planck Foundation for Peace and the Rule of Law, Second Interregional Conference on the Somali Constitutional Review Process.
  5. Max Planck Foundation for Peace and the Rule of Law, Third Interregional Conference on the Somali Constitutional Review Process.
  6. Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), Controversy over Electoral Reform Sparks Debate in Somalia.
  7. Emirates Policy Center, The National Consultative Forum and the Future of Somalia’s Political Landscape.
  8. United Nations Security Council, Report of the Secretary-General on Somalia (S/2024/426).
  9. Somalia Public Agenda, Bridging Divides: Options for Resolving Political and Constitutional Deadlock (August 2025).
  10. Federal Republic of Somalia, Ministry of Justice, Law and the Independent Judiciary in Somalia.
  11. ConstitutionNet, Somali Speaker Urges Parliament to Establish a Constitutional Court and Define the Status of Mogadishu.
  12. Constitute Project, Provisional Constitution of the Federal Republic of Somalia (2012).
  13. United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), Justice Sector Strategy 2025–2029.
  14. Horn Review, Somalia’s Security Architecture: A Persistent Crisis of Structural Design.
  15. EUAA, Updated List of Main Actors in Somalia.
  16. International Monetary Fund (IMF), Statement by the Executive Director for Somalia (9 July 2025).
  17. World Bank, Somalia Economic Update: Reforming Somalia’s Security Sector.
  18. Hiiraan Online, Al-Shabaab Operatives Registering for Somalia’s National ID, President Says.
  19. Biometric Update, Somalia to Integrate Government Services with National ID System.
  20. Somali Guardian, President Says Al-Shabaab Instructing Members to Obtain National IDs.
  21. Biometric Update, Somalia Digital ID as a Pillar of the World Bank-Funded SPRING Initiative.
  22. Al Jazeera, Somalia’s 2026 Election Risks a Legitimacy Crisis.
  23. International Crisis Group, Electoral Showdown in Somalia: Averting Another Round of Turmoil.
  24. Rift Valley Institute, Addressing Contentious Issues on Elections in the Constitutional Review Process.
  25. United Nations Security Council, Report of the Secretary-General on Somalia (S/2025/194).
  26. International Crisis Group, Helping Somalia Move Beyond a Shaky Status Quo.
  27. International IDEA, Somalia: Global State of Democracy.
  28. Security Council Report, Somalia: Private Meeting – What’s In Blue.
  29. U.S. Department of State, Somalia Investment Climate Statement (2025).
  30. United Nations Security Council, Report of the Secretary-General on Somalia (S/2025/613).
  31. U.S. Department of State, Investment Climate Statements: Somalia.
  32. United Nations and Federal Government of Somalia, 2025 Action Plan for Child Protection in Armed Conflict.
  33. Radio Dalsan, Somalia Immigration and Citizenship Agency Annual Performance Report (2025).
  34. UNHCR, Rights Mapping and Analysis Platform (RIMAP), Constitution of Somalia.
  35. UN Peacemaker, Picture Guide to the Provisional Constitution (Civic Education Tool).
  36. International IDEA, Somalia: Global State of Democracy (April 2025 update).
  37. Federal Republic of Somalia, Ministry of Constitutional Affairs (MOCA) Handover Report.
  38. The Tandem Project, Summary and Questions Guide to the Consultation Draft Constitution.
  39. UN Peacemaker, Draft Act to Provide for the Preparation of the Draft Constitution of the Republic of Somalia.
  40. Security Council Report, Somalia: Vote on a Draft Resolution Renewing UNSOM’s Mandate.
  41. Security Council Report, Somalia Monthly Forecast (October & December 2025).
  42. ALM, Somalia Approves Key Legal Reforms and Environmental Management Framework.
  43. OCHA / Humanitarian Action, Somalia Migrants Response Plan 2025 (HNRP Annex).
  44. EUAA, EASO Country of Origin Information Report: Somalia Actors (2021).
  45. Federal Republic of Somalia, Ministry of Environment and Climate Change, Parliament First Reading of Environmental and Climate Draft Bills.
  46. African Development Bank, Country Focus Report: Somalia (2025).
  47. Hiiraan Online, Somalia Reviews Progress and Sets Agenda for National Transformation Plan 2025–2029.
  48. U.S. Department of State, Integrated Country Strategy: Somalia (2021–2025).
  49. United Nations Security Council, Resolution 2776 (2025).
  50. Rift Valley Institute, The Shaping of the Somali National Security Architecture — a policy analysis of the National Security Architecture (NSArch) and its political dynamics in Somalia. riftvalley.net
  51. Somali Public Agenda, Judiciary Models for Somalia — analysis of institutional options for Somalia’s judiciary under federalism and the constitutional review process. somalipublicagenda.org
  52. Michael Keating & Sagal Abshir, The Politics of Security in Somalia — a policy briefing on the political dimensions of security reform and the challenges of aligning security institutions with broader state building objectives. Center on International Cooperation
  53. Dribssa Beyene (LSE/Conflict Research Programme), The Security Sector Reform Paradox in Somalia — an academic examination of why security sector reform efforts have yielded mixed outcomes in the Somali context. LSE Research Online
  54. Abdirashid Fidow, Somalia’s Survival Depends on Fundamental Governance Reform, Africa at LSE (30 August 2024) — commentary linking governance dysfunction with insecurity and the need for structural reform. blogs.lse.ac.uk
  55. Heritage Institute, Structural Impediments to Reformhttps://heritageinstitute.org/

 

Share this post