Somalia is trapped in a crisis loop. Over twenty five years of state-building projects and seven successive governments—supported by decades of international intervention and shifting UN and AU mission mandates have yet to produce a stable and functioning state. Instead, the country remains stuck with a system that reproduces crisis rather than solving it. 

Today, political fragmentation and institutional ambiguity have become the primary engines of state weakness, leaving the nation in a cycle of engineered failure that can no longer be ignored.  

Agenda 2028 is a strategic intervention designed to clear the structural blockages that have stalled national progress for a generation. It is not a traditional long-term state-building blueprint, but a series of focused actions to tackle the most critical questions facing the nation today: What must be done to build a functioning state, unlock the political system, and achieve self-reliant security before the 2028 transition? We propose a renewed vision to federalize the state, stabilize the country, and protect communities.

Through focused analysis and practical solutions, this series aims to sharpen priorities, align stakeholders, and advance the actionable steps necessary to break the “crisis loop.” Agenda 2028 seeks to inspire ownership of our future and build a state that serves its people, secures its territory, and upholds the rule of law.

Our Methodology

This work is based on an extensive desk review of numerous policy proposals and research conducted by both local and international organizations. It is further informed by interviews with leaders, academics, and civil servants, as well as original think pieces from our teams. This work has been guided by the Amni Reform Initiative leadership and board. 

To achieve self-reliant security and functional governance by 2028, attention must shift toward a realistic, solution-oriented approach. Rather than pursuing a "perfect" theoretical federal model which often requires universal consensus among stakeholders with divergent interests, we propose a pragmatic political reset to unlock the political, territorial, and institutional constraints that currently paralyze national progress.