Consensus for a Functional Federation
The political consensus required to unlock Somalia’s federal system must be achieved through high-level leadership dialogue, as the Provisional Constitution explicitly requires that unresolved elements of the federal structure be negotiated, agreed upon, and institutionalized by the Federal Government (FG) and the Federal Member States (FMS).
This dialogue should focus primarily on current officeholders—federal and state presidents—who exercise direct control over institutions and security forces. A broader and more inclusive political process can follow once stability and institutional clarity are restored. Key opposition figures and former national leaders should be consulted either at the outset or prior to finalization to broaden political legitimacy and buy-in.
Constitutional completion and amendment cannot proceed through unilateral action. The dialogue must therefore be structured, time-bound, and oriented toward producing enforceable outcomes rather than political statements.
Required Outcomes of the Dialogue
The dialogue shall produce specific, negotiated agreements that enable Parliament to enact the Priority Laws listed in Schedule One (D) of the Provisional Constitution. At a minimum, it must deliver agreement on the following:
- Clear Division of Mandates and Resources.
- Fulfilling Article 54 by negotiating and agreeing upon the allocation of powers beyond the four exclusive federal domains.
- Renewed Security Pact and National Security Architecture. Political consensus required for Parliament to enact the Security Agencies Laws mandated under Article 130 and the Security Pact and National Security Architecture (2017 and 2023).
- Establishment of Coordination Mechanisms: Agreement on the frameworks necessary for Parliament to legislate binding intergovernmental dispute-resolution, arbitration, and coordination mechanisms, in line with Articles 95 and 111F.
- Interim Dispute Resolution Role of the Upper House. Until the Court is fully operational, the Federal Senate will be legally empowered as a temporary arbiter for federal-state disputes.
- Clear Action Plan for Institutional Reform. A sequenced and time-bound roadmap for establishing constitutionally mandated institutions that remain unimplemented.
- Federal Electoral Model and Timeline. Agreement on a federal electoral system and electoral calendar, including the May 2026 timeline and the remaining three state presidential elections, to enable Parliament to enact the required special laws governing elections and political parties, whether under Law No. 19 (2016) or Law No. 20 (2024).
Without resolving these core constitutional ambiguities, progress in other reform areas will remain fragile and reversible.
The dialogue shall not substitute for legislation. Its sole purpose is to generate the political agreements necessary for Parliament to legislate binding rules, restore constitutional order, and complete the federal system envisioned in the Provisional Constitution.